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How Automated Time-Series Analysis Works
How automated time-series systems detect trend, seasonality and changepoints, and how to judge their output.
How Gaussian Processes Work
Gaussian processes explained: distributions over functions, kernels, composition, and where GPs struggle.
How Automated Statistical Analysis Works
The pipeline behind automated statistical analysis: profiling, model grammar, search, scoring, criticism and translation.
What Is an Automatic Statistician?
An automatic statistician searches a space of models, scores them, and explains the winner in language a person can check.
About Automatic Statistician
A publication about automated statistical analysis, interpretable models and the machinery that turns raw data into an explanation a person can read, check and disagree with.
Airline Passenger Analysis
A smooth rising trend multiplied by an annual cycle whose amplitude grows with the trend.
Solar Irradiance Analysis
Long-term structure, a strong repeating cycle, and a long interval in the seventeenth century where the cycle is absent.
Methodology
How analyses, claims, benchmarks and software are evaluated on this site.
Editorial Policy
Who writes here, how material is reviewed, and what the standards are.
Affiliate Disclosure
When links on this site are commercial, and what that does and does not affect.